NRL Premiership · Finals Week 3
Dolphins vs Roosters
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane
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NRL Premiership · Finals Week 3
Panthers vs Knights
Accor Stadium, Sydney
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Roosters vs Sharks NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
The Roosters remain clear favourites, but Cronulla's cleaner recent attack and updated bench give the underdogs plenty to work with.
Read analysisWarriors vs Knights NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
The Warriors bring control and the stronger recent body of work to Eden Park, while Newcastle arrive with enough attacking punch to make this a genuine contest.
Read analysisPanthers vs Roosters NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
Penrith bring the stronger recent defensive numbers into a finals meeting with a Roosters side welcoming back a stack of attacking quality and Egan Butcher on the bench.
Read analysisRabbitohs vs Knights NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
South Sydney enter finals football with the cleaner recent numbers, but Newcastle have enough attacking strike to make the favourite earn it.
Read analysisFrom the numbers
Real trends from current MatchFit analysis.
Completion rate
The Roosters completed at 74.8% across five games compared with the Sharks at 81.4%, creating a major possession contrast.
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Line breaks
Newcastle 's 8.2 line breaks per game compared with the Warriors ' 5.8 captures the Knights ' major attacking advantage.
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Completion rate
Penrith have completed far more reliably across the recent five game window.
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Completion rate
South Sydney 's 82.8% completion rate provides a clear possession advantage over Newcastle 's 77.4%.
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Completion rate
Cronulla 's 81% completion rate contrasts sharply with North Queensland 's 74.6% and shapes the possession battle.
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Opponent completion rate
Warriors opponents have completed at 74.6% across the past five compared with 78.2% for Dolphins opponents, highlighting a meaningful difference in defensive disruption.
See the analysisTeam-wide MatchFit Metrics
Compare whole-team efficiency across the NRL, including scoring, running, kicking and defence.
- Metres per run The average number of metres gained on each run.
- Pre-contact metres per run The average number of metres gained before first contact on each run.
- Post-contact metres per run The average number of metres gained after contact on each run.
- Tackle breaks per 10 runs The number of tackle breaks recorded for every 10 runs.
- Points per 10 sets The number of points scored for every 10 sets of possession.
- Line breaks per 10 sets The number of line breaks created for every 10 sets of possession.
- Errors per 10 sets The number of errors made for every 10 sets of possession.
- Tries per line break The number of tries scored for each recorded line break.
- Tackle miss rate The percentage of recorded tackle involvements that end in an outright miss.
- Forced dropouts per 10 kicks The number of forced dropouts won for every 10 general-play kicks.
- Offloads per 10 runs The number of offloads made for every 10 runs.
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Latest analysis.
Roosters vs Sharks NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
The Roosters remain clear favourites, but Cronulla's cleaner recent attack and updated bench give the underdogs plenty to work with.
Read analysisRoosters vs Sharks Line Tips
The Roosters remain clear favourites, but the shorter handicap brings the market much closer to our expected winning margin.
Read analysisRoosters vs Sharks Total Tips
Recent scoring points towards a tight assessment of the 44.5 market total as the Roosters and Sharks meet in Finals Week 2.
Read analysisWarriors vs Knights NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
The Warriors bring control and the stronger recent body of work to Eden Park, while Newcastle arrive with enough attacking punch to make this a genuine contest.
Read analysisWarriors vs Knights Line Tips
The Warriors enter as favourites against Newcastle, with their cleaner football set against a dangerous Knights attack.
Read analysisWarriors vs Knights Total Tips
Recent attacking production still points towards a high scoring contest, although the higher market total has narrowed the gap to our expected scoring range.
Read analysisPanthers vs Roosters NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
Penrith bring the stronger recent defensive numbers into a finals meeting with a Roosters side welcoming back a stack of attacking quality and Egan Butcher on the bench.
Read analysisPanthers vs Roosters Line Tips
Penrith are asked to cover 9.5 points against the Roosters, with recent possession quality and defensive results pointing to a slightly bigger gap than the market suggests.
Read analysisPanthers vs Roosters Total Tips
The market total has moved to 42.5 points, leaving Penrith's defence and the Roosters' uneven ball control central to the finals equation.
Read analysisRabbitohs vs Knights NRL head-to-head tips, prediction and value bets
South Sydney enter finals football with the cleaner recent numbers, but Newcastle have enough attacking strike to make the favourite earn it.
Read analysisRabbitohs vs Knights Line Tips
South Sydney enter as favourites against Newcastle, with recent scoring margins and several key statistical advantages putting the market handicap under pressure.
Read analysisRabbitohs vs Knights Total Tips
Recent scoring numbers from both sides remain comfortably above the market total, with frequent line breaks and potent outside backs supporting another high scoring contest.
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