Compare the teams' outright winning chances, recent form and value in the match-winner market.
The Roosters own the stronger season record and have faced the tougher recent opposition, but the Dolphins bring a five-game winning run and serious yardage into a fascinating Round 26 contest.
See how the handicap changes the matchup and whether either side offers cover value.
The Roosters are favourites at a market line of -4.5, but the Dolphins bring enough recent attacking and defensive quality to make this handicap a tight call.
Assess the scoring outlook against the bookmaker's combined-points line.
Two high scoring attacks meet two strong recent defences, leaving the 47.5 point total finely balanced but slightly short of our expected scoring mark.
Both defences have restricted opposition line breaks to 4 per game across their past five matches, helping explain their strong recent points prevention.