Compare the teams' outright winning chances, recent form and value in the match-winner market.
Cronulla bring the stronger season record into Round 27, but Melbourne's recent attacking and defensive numbers make the head-to-head market a genuine test of how much current form should outweigh the ladder record.
Assess the scoring outlook against the bookmaker's combined-points line.
Melbourne's attack brings substantial scoring threat, but Cronulla's reshuffled spine and the Storm's stronger defensive numbers make 51.5 a demanding total.